American statistician and writer Nate Silver on Friday described the 2024 U.S. presidential race is described as “a near coin flip,” with Donald Trump narrowly leading Kamala Harris. What Happened: As of Oct. 31, Silver’s forecast gives Trump a slight edge with a 53.4% chance of winning, compared to Harris’s 46.2%. This tight margin highlights the intense polarization and competitive nature of this election, which remains too close to call as polling data continues to evolve in critical swing states. Silver’s analysis of recent polls highlights shifting dynamics, particularly in Pennsylvania, …
