One of the arguments we could use is to model the possible consequences of Russia’s success in the war against Ukraine. The effect of this will go far beyond Ukraine’s borders. What seemed a dramatic miscalculation by Putin back in 2022, may turn a major geopolitical triumph for Moscow, which would consolidate revisionist foreign policy in Russia and other countries, further undermine rules-based international order, and indicate a major shift in the global balance of power. For Ukraine such a development would pose an existential threat. But the West will also be affected, as well as non-West…