Lithuania could be headed toward a change of government, updated numbers from the country’s electoral commission indicated early Monday, as voters gave the Social Democrats a victory with 19.5%, with nearly all districts counted. This is lower than the 23% the party got after 70% of the districts were counted, but enough to give them an electoral victory. The conservative Homeland Union of Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė posted gains over the earlier count, which had them at 13%. In the updated information it received 17.8% of the vote, overtaking the newly emerged populist Nemunas Dawn Party,…