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The decline of the Liberals and the rise of the Labour Party seems so long ago that the mantra that, under First Past the Post, only Labour or Tories can win has assumed the status of Holy Writ. Hence, we hear the repeated but inaccurate claim that a vote for Reform UK is a vote for Starmer. If political patterns really were so entrenched, we would still have the Whigs. Starmer is going to win anyway but with the Tories and Reform now neck and neck in the polls it is equally possible to claim that a vote for the Conservatives is a vote for Labour. “Something is happening” said both Tice and Fa…

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