This year’s Munich Security Conference (MSC) showed the celebration of Ukrainian resistance and Western unity of 2022-23 is far behind us. Crucially, the West is yet to coalesce around a vision for Ukrainian victory, and many are following the illusion that the war has entered a protracted stalemate. As the retreat from Avdiivka shows, the fighting is neither in a stalemate nor in a deadlock. A Ukrainian defeat is possible. The real deadlock, as demonstrated at MSC, is in the West. Aware of these trends, analysts, policy makers and politicians are reflecting on what will change the trajectory …